Anticipatory Control

EU AI Act 2025 Analysis
The Context

The Governance Gap

The "Cognitive Revolution" has created a pacing problem: AI evolves exponentially, but regulation evolves linearly. The EU is solving this via Anticipatory Governanceβ€”steering technology before risks become entrenched.

Systems Thinking

Governance now views AI as a complex ecosystem, monitoring the "Inference Economy" rather than just isolated code.

Strategic Foresight

Using the Scientific Panel to stress-test policies against future capabilities (e.g., AGI).

Agile Oversight

Moving from rigid "hard law" to flexible "soft law" (Codes of Practice) to adapt to new threats.

GPAI Risk Classifier

Determine obligations based on the 4 Systemic Risk Levers.

The Architecture of Control

Oversight has been centralized to handle the "Brussels Effect" and ensure cross-border consistency.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί AI Office

Centralized enforcer for GPAI models and vertically integrated systems like ChatGPT.

πŸ”¬ Scientific Panel

Can issue "Qualified Alerts" to investigate risks even if compute thresholds aren't met.

πŸ“œ Code of Practice

Provides a "presumption of conformity." Includes the Safety and Security Framework (SSF).

Nov 2025 Simplification

The "Digital Simplification" Pivot

Driven by the Draghi Report, the EU proposed significant changes to boost competitiveness.

Change Impact
Delay High-Risk Rules Delayed 16-18 months to await standards.
GDPR Reform Allows "Legitimate Interest" for training without consent.
SME Rules Extended to "Small Mid-Caps".

Critique: "Rollback"

Civil society argues delaying rules and loosening GDPR prioritizes profit over rights.

Defense: "Agility"

Proponents argue this prevents legal uncertainty and closes the innovation gap.

Source: Analysis of "The Pivot to Anticipatory Control" (2025).
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The Cognitive Revolution: Conclusion